Circle Back Pattern and the Fastest Horse

One of my very favorite patterns is the Circle Back. In short, this pattern is one where a horse runs its Best, follows that Best with a Regression of one or more races, and then runs an improving race, although not as fast as its recent Best. This last race is what I call the turn-the-corner race. After the turn-the-corner […] Continue Reading

Fastest Number Even After Layoff Should Still Get A Look

I tend to shy away from horses that are returning to the races after long layoffs. Mainly I am skeptical that they may not be fully recovered from whatever has kept them away, or that the trainer may not have them in top racing condition. However when a horse has previously earned a solidly superior Number compared to today’s competition, […] Continue Reading

Rest Then Best Bonanza Recap

Rest then Best Bonanza Recap Last Saturday September 24, the 7th race at Los Al, a 6 furlong Allowance sprint, was very lucrative for those focusing in on Rest then Best horses. The 3 RTB horses finished 1,2,3 for some sweet returns. 6-5 winner Tough Sunday was a standout, as he had returned to the races three weeks earlier, posting […] Continue Reading

The Test with a 55-1 winner

The Test with a 55-1 winner There is nothing like hitting a real longshot, especially when that horse figures strongly based on Speed and pattern. While we do get many solid priced horses using the Numbers, it is simply rare for the public to completely ignore a horse that has a positive pattern and solid speed Numbers. The 7 furlong […] Continue Reading

Circle Back with a Regression Blog Comment Response

Today’s feature at Saratoga is the GR 1 Whitney Stakes, and features a solid group of talented runners competing at 1 1/8 Mile. The standout in the field is Frosted, who posted a jaw-dropping -3.8 Best in his last race, as he demolished 9 competitors in the GR 1 Met Mile by an astonishing 14 lengths in one of the […] Continue Reading