Circle Back Pattern and the Fastest Horse

One of my very favorite patterns is the Circle Back. In short, this pattern is one where a horse runs its Best, follows that Best with a Regression of one or more races, and then runs an improving race, although not as fast as its recent Best. This last race is what I call the turn-the-corner race. After the turn-the-corner […] Continue Reading

Pegasus Grade 1 Stakes Preview

Today’s 12th race at Gulfstream is the $12 Million GR 1 Pegasus Stakes showcasing a rematch of the top two finishers from the most recent BC Classic. BC winner Arrogate and the phenomenal California Chrome battled to within ½ length in the BC Classic with 3rd place Keen Ice finishing a distant 10 lengths further back. By the Numbers, the […] Continue Reading

Sunshine Millions Stakes Preview 2017

The fourth race at Gulfstream Park today is the Sunshine Millions Distaff Stakes. It features a competitive field of 6 older Fillies and Mares sprinting 6 furlongs. In post position order: 5-1 Flutterby : Long layoff. Posted an  8.7 Best (Extended Card) in August, 2015, and a more recent 16.0 Best a year ago. Her Numbers have gone south since […] Continue Reading

Hal’s Hope Grade 3 Stakes Preview: A Solid Field

Today’s 11th race at Gulfstream is the GR 3 Hal’s Hope Stakes featuring a solid field of nine older horses going a flat one turn mile. In post position order: 12-1 Dolphus :5 Best. Marching pattern. Posted that 5.5 Best in an impressive gate to wire 9-length score in Allowance company at 7 furlongs in the Gulfstream slop. Very good […] Continue Reading

Fastest Number Even After Layoff Should Still Get A Look

I tend to shy away from horses that are returning to the races after long layoffs. Mainly I am skeptical that they may not be fully recovered from whatever has kept them away, or that the trainer may not have them in top racing condition. However when a horse has previously earned a solidly superior Number compared to today’s competition, […] Continue Reading

San Gabriel Stakes Preview

The feature race at Santa Anita this Saturday is the GR 2 San Gabriel Stakes for older horses going 1 1/8 Mile on the Turf. The race appears solid with a full field of twelve entered. In post position order: 12-1 Blue Tone : 4.7 Best. Modest Circle Back pattern. Has never raced on the Turf and has mediocre Grass […] Continue Reading

Harlan’s Holiday Grade 3 Stakes Analysis

Gulfstream Park offers a very nice day of races today, with the GR 3 Harlan’s Holiday Stakes being one of several Stakes races on the card. In post position order: 2-1 Stanford :1 Best. Layoff. He is returning after a 6 month layoff after being demolished by Frosted (like everyone else) in the Met Mile. He posted that 3.1 Best […] Continue Reading

Aqueduct’s Grade 3 Discovery Stakes

Today’s 8th race at Aqueduct is the GR 3 Discovery Stakes for 3YO’s going 1 1/8 Mile. This is a very fast and contentious group for the level, with several in here appearing to be competitive. In post position order: 7-2 Adulator :1 Best. Even Pattern. Nice even pattern; albeit a bit slow for these. Connections are excellent, and I […] Continue Reading

GR 1 Queen Elizabeth II Stakes 2016

The 9th race at Keeneland today is the GR 1 Queen Elizabeth II Stakes for 3YO fillies going 1 1/8 Mile on the Turf. The race features several with very impressive credentials and the competition appears to go very deep with many fast and improving horses. In post position order: 2-1 Catch a Glimpse :8 Best. Marching pattern. We start […] Continue Reading

Jockey Club Gold Cup Preview 2016

One of racing’s jewels each year before the Breeders Cup races is the Jockey Club Gold Cup. At Belmont Park, this GR 1 event at the classic distance of 1 ¼ Mile generally features some of the top handicap horses in the country. This year’s rendition includes last year’s BC Classic runner-up Effinex. In post position order: 12-1 Protonico :7 […] Continue Reading